PI
PAVmed Inc. (PAVM)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 GAAP results were driven by deconsolidation and other income: revenue of $10k, GAAP diluted EPS of $0.12, and non-GAAP adjusted loss per share of $(0.06); operating expenses fell to $5.2M as the company pivoted to a shared-services, subsidiary-driven model .
- Lucid Diagnostics processed a record 4,042 EsoGuard tests (+45% QoQ, +84% YoY) and recognized $1.2M revenue; positive coverage from Highmark BCBS and rapid uptake of concierge medicine (>20 contracts) bolster commercialization momentum .
- Veris Health secured $2.4M financing at a $35M pre-money valuation, extended its OSU James Cancer Hospital pilot through April 2025, and targets an FDA submission for its implantable physiological monitor by late 2025 or early 2026 .
- Structural actions (Lucid deconsolidation and debt exchange) enabled Nasdaq compliance; management expects ~$25M to be added to PAVmed’s equity in Q1 2025, enhancing balance sheet stability .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record EsoGuard test volume and initial commercial coverage: 4,042 tests in Q4, $1.2M revenue, Highmark BCBS positive coverage, and new concierge sales channel (>20 contracts) .
- Strategic financing milestones: Veris closed $2.4M financing at a $35M pre-money valuation and supplemented funding with a $1.8M NIH grant to optimize the Veris Cancer Care Platform .
- Balance sheet stabilization and Nasdaq compliance: Deconsolidation of Lucid and debt restructuring improved equity and listing compliance. “PAVmed is now in a very strong position to operate as it was designed—as a diversified commercial life sciences company with multiple independently-financed subsidiaries” — Lishan Aklog, CEO .
What Went Wrong
- Minimal reported revenue at parent post-deconsolidation: Q4 2024 revenue was $10k reflecting Veris platform activity (approx. 125 patients), with Lucid revenues no longer consolidated .
- Timing pushout for Veris implantable monitor FDA submission: From an earlier target around 1H 2025 to late 2025 or early 2026 as financing and manufacturing partners reboot .
- Continued reliance on other income to support GAAP profitability: Q4 “Other (Income) Expense” was $(6.33)M, including $3.2M management service income from Lucid, highlighting non-operating drivers of net income .
Financial Results
Consolidated Results (GAAP and Non-GAAP)
Notes: Q4 revenue reflects Veris platform activity only; Lucid revenues deconsolidated as of Sept 10, 2024 . Q4 other income includes $3.2M management service income from Lucid .
Estimate vs Actual (S&P Global Consensus)
Values with asterisks retrieved from S&P Global.
Highlights vs estimates:
- Q4 2024: Revenue $10k vs $20k consensus → miss; Primary EPS $(0.06) vs $(0.40) consensus → bold beat on normalized EPS*.
- Q3 2024: Revenue $996k vs $1,093k consensus → miss; Primary EPS $(0.54) vs $(1.30) consensus → beat*.
- Q2 2024: Revenue $979k vs $1,238k consensus → miss; Primary EPS $(0.20) vs $(1.34) consensus → beat*.
Values with asterisks retrieved from S&P Global. Actuals cited above.
KPIs and Operating Metrics
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “PAVmed is now in a very strong position to operate as it was designed—as a diversified commercial life sciences company with multiple independently-financed subsidiaries” — Lishan Aklog, CEO .
- “Lucid generated $1.2 million in revenue and a test volume of just over 4,000 tests, which represented a 45% growth quarter-on-quarter” — Lishan Aklog .
- “Veris completed a private placement financing with gross proceeds of $2.4 million at a $35 million pre-money valuation… allows us to advance… with a regulatory submission by the end of this year or into the first quarter of next year” — Lishan Aklog (later clarified to late 2025/early 2026 submission) .
- “PAVmed’s management service income from Lucid Diagnostics of $3.2 million for the quarter is reflected in other income… non-GAAP loss of $688,000” — Dennis McGrath, CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- OSU James Cancer Hospital agreement structure: Initial commercial engagement plus strategic registry commitments; OSU to be first site for implantable device post-FDA clearance .
- Implantable monitor regulatory path: Extensive FDA pre-sub interactions; aiming for submission late 2025/early 2026; potential to avoid a full-blown human clinical implantation study via validated skin study .
- Veris pipeline with other centers: ~12 discussions overall, 4–5 advanced; prioritizing implantable and OSU engagement before expanding pilots; developing AI-based decision support and clinical triage support .
- PortIO regulatory plan: De novo pathway; IDE study of ~50–80 patients over ~18 months; Gen 2 device advances in parallel; $4M financing at $42M pre-money under diligence .
- Competitive landscape: Veris differentiated vs generic RPM tools due to oncology-specific design; implantable monitor seen as moat; OSU RFP selected Veris platform .
Estimates Context
- Q4 2024: Actual Primary EPS $(0.06) beat consensus $(0.40); Actual revenue $10k missed consensus $20k*.
- Pattern across Q2–Q4 2024: Normalized EPS consistently beats, while revenue has trended below small-cap consensus expectations as consolidated reporting shifts post-Lucid deconsolidation*.
- Implications: Street models likely to adjust for: (a) parent-level revenue minimal post-deconsolidation; (b) operating expense baseline lower; (c) other income (Lucid MSA, equity method impacts) as key drivers of GAAP EPS variability.
Values with asterisks retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Parent-level reported revenue will remain modest post-Lucid deconsolidation; focus shifts to Veris monetization and non-operating drivers (Lucid management services, equity method) in GAAP results .
- Near-term catalysts: MolDX reconsideration action in H1 2025 for EsoGuard and OSU long-term agreement signing; both can accelerate subsidiary value creation that indirectly benefits PAVmed .
- Veris implantable submission now targeted for late 2025/early 2026; manage expectations for regulatory milestones and commercialization ramp post-clearance .
- Liquidity and compliance risks reduced: debt restructuring and deconsolidation improved equity and regained Nasdaq compliance; ~$25M equity uplift expected in Q1 2025 .
- Lucid execution remains strong: record test volume, initial commercial coverage, and concierge channel are tangible signs of market adoption; further payor wins could be a material stock catalyst .
- Portfolio optionality: PMX/PortIO advancing toward de novo with dedicated financing; diversified asset base under shared services model provides multiple shots on goal .
- Trading setup: Watch for MolDX coverage decision and OSU contract details; normalized EPS may remain favorable versus small consensus bases, but GAAP EPS will be volatile due to other income and mark-to-market dynamics .